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While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
In another encouraging non-sports sign, one of those operators notched just $2 million in commodities volume last year, but that figure surpassed $410 million in August alone and is approaching $600 million on a year-to-date basis.
Bernstein estimates the global market for financial contracts will grow to $900 trillion by 2035, up from $700 trillion last year, and if prediction markets capture just 0.5% of that total, volume would increase by $4.7 trillion per year.
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Its failure also leaves unresolved disputes over prediction markets and state and tribal gaming authorities, outside a comprehensive congressional framework. Those issues took on new significance during Senate floor debate over the bill, as concerns about federal commodities oversight extended to markets typically regulated at the state or tribal level.
The latest filing is an early step in filling some of that regulatory gap for the CFTC. The agency can issue regulations under its current statutory authority, but those regulations would not necessarily be as permanent as legislation passed by Congress.
For now, the important news is that the CFTC has officially started the administrative process. Only once the rulemaking progresses and the underlying proposal is available for public review will the extent of its eventual crypto framework become clear.
About Book Of Rest
The space is full of shills and promoters, people who are so invested in the price of a coin, they just want people buy more coins, make the price go up and ensure they get their Lambo.
The price of a coin is a shiny paintjob, it looks impressive and it earns tons of media coverage but there is so much more to Bitcoin, at least Bitcoin SV that gets lost in the hype surrounding the digital gold rush narrative. Bitcoin SV is an incredible technology that can solve some problems and create new opportunities for you and your gambling business.
Again, I don’t want to make this a sales job, I’m sure you’ve had plenty of salesmen make their “buy more and hold it” pitch.